Here we are... weigh in day for tomorrow's two monster cards. Some predictions:
NBC card in Uncasville, Conn:
-Gabriel Campillo (21-4-1, 8 KOs) vs. Sergey Kovalev (19-0, 17 KOs) - 10 rounds, light heavyweights
*If there is anything we know about Campillo its that the guy can flat out box the brakes off of most guys. We also know, however, that because of his lack of power, he gets jobbed like crazy on the cards. In front of him is a Russian destroying machine who hasn't "just" fought the typical Euro trash to pad his record. He's fought state side a few times, and fought decent opposition abroad. As much as I like Campillo and appreciate his skills, Kovalev isn't a rigid, start and stop-reset kind of guy. He's technical enough to get into good angles and throws punches. I'll take Kovalev in this one, possibly by stoppage if he cuts the ring off.
-Elvin Ayala (26-5-1, 12 KOs) vs. Curtis Stevens (22-3, 16 KOs) 10 rounds, middleweights
*The undercard co-feature. It should be a decent fight. Stevens has got some skill and power, but lacks polishing. Ayala is riding a nice win streak coming in, 6 fights and 3 stoppages, and they've both faced some top end opposition, with Ayala facing the better quality (Arthur Abraham, loss KO12; David Lemieux, loss KO1; and Lajuan Simon, loss UD12). He is chinny and Stevens has the power to do the job. But, given the opportunity, I see Ayala taking this one on the cards at the end.
The big one at MSG on HBO:
Roman "Rocky" Martinez (26-1, 16 KOs) vs. Juan Carlos "MiniBurgos" Burgos (30-1, 20 KOs)
*This is going to be VERY fun to watch. Do not sleep on this fight and do not think about missing it, it's a FOTY candidate. Two guys who like to move forward and bomb away, with Martinez mixing in more technique. Both guys have failed to superior boxers - Rocky to Ricky Burns and Burgos to Hozumi Hasegawa. Won't see any of that finesse boxing here though. Rocky starts slow, and Burgos comes on early. I see Rocky getting through the early rounds, settling in, and stopping Burgos as the fight goes on. Look for a straight right hand to start things off.
Orlando Salido (39-11-2, 27 KOs) vs. Mikey Garcia (30-0, 26 KOs)
*Another FOTY candidate when it goes down. The nonstop pressure for Salido has broken many opponents and is something to behold. However, Mikey trains with this on a daily basis with Tony Margarito. Training for a guy who has as much precision in his power punches as Mikey Garcia is something hard to find in the gym. Salido has given many counter punchers fits with his pressure and overhand right-left hook. But, I see Mikey getting through the early pressure cooker, and then picking Siri apart with hooks and uppercuts. He'll also need to give Salido a hard jab to keep him a bit honest. In the end, I'll take Garcia on the score cards.
Gennady Golovkin (24-0, 21 KOs) vs. Gabriel Rosado (21-5, 13 KOs)
*Rosado's toughest challenge to date after being fed to the lions early on. Golovkin though, faces his toughest challenge as well. GGG is a boxer-bomber like most haven't seen since Julio Cesar Chavez Sr. In front of him is the rebuilt, always improving, power punching boxer Gabriel Rosado, who is coming up from 154 - giving up a title shot there - to take on a middle weight champ. Rosado has improved every single time he's fought, and he'll need to show something amazing to top the Kazak bomber. My heart says Rosado. Simply put, he's faced far tougher opponents, far better opponents, and is looking phenomenal. My brain says Golovkin though. I'll go with the heart, and call the upset - Rosado by KO.