Dwight Wakabayashi
Feb 12, 2002
The Olympics are here and it is time to compete for the best of the best to put money aside and compete for flag and country. There is a tremendous spotlight and focus on the Ice Hockey tournament this year, as this may be the last time for a long time that the best go after Gold on the largest stage in the world. Here is my look at the "BIG SIX" and how they will fare when the snow settles.
FINLAND
Team Outlook
It's hard to have a positive team outlook when you lose its heart and soul. That
is the situation the Finns find themselves in without mighty might Saku Koivu.
The Finns are coming off in impressive bronze medal finish in Nagano but will be
hard pressed to repeat that success. Aside from the absence of Koivu, Finland's
other main weapon Teemu Selanne is not on top of his game going in to Salt Lake.
Koivu and Selanne were the offense in Nagano and the fact that Finland does not
have a lot of offensive depth is going to force them to play a tighter,
defensive game. They will be hard pressed to find success with that style.
MVP- Sami Kapanen /F
Kapanen's game has improved and emerged against top competition in the past four
years since Nagano. The large ice surface combined with the absence of Koivu
means that Kapanen will be the man for Finland in Salt Lake. Kapanen is an elite
skater, and will create most of the offense for the Finns. Look for Kapanen to
be in the top ten in Olympic scoring.
Unsung Hero- Teppo Numminen /D
Everything that Numminen does is unsung, due to his humble nature. He is the
leader and stable force on this team. He has been that for Finland for a long
time and his game has not changed. He will not put up big points, he will not
get a lot of big hits, he will simply play mistake-free hockey on the Finnish
blue-line, and maintain a calm at times when they get overwhelmed.
Intangibles
As much as the loss of Saku Koivu will physically hurt Finland on the ice, it
may provide intangible inspiration for the Finnish team. Koivu's battle with
cancer can serve as an inspiration to anyone, in any walk of life, I dream to
think of what type of inspiration it could provide for his closest peers and
friends. Focus is a powerful thing, and Finland's intangible going in to Salt
Lake is the "let's win it for Saku" factor.
Predicted finish- 6th overall
SWEDEN
Team Outlook
The team outlook for Sweden is affected in much the same way that Finland's is
affected. Sweden is going into the tournament without their best player. Swedish
superstar Peter Forsberg will be not play due to injury, and that fact has a
profound effect on the success of the team. Unlike the Finns, Sweden has good
offensive depth, which will help them overcome the absence of Forsberg
offensively. However, it is his strength and ability to match up against anybody
defensively that Sweden will not be able to replace. When it comes time to match
up and shut down the big guns on the opposing teams, Sweden's weakness will be
exposed.
MVP- Tommy Salo /G
Tommy Salo will keep Sweden close in every game they play. They will always have
a chance because of him. Sweden has a great group of offensive defencemen, but
they will be exposed defensively and will allow many, quality scoring chances.
Salo has experience, poise and tremendous ability, but he won't be enough to get
Sweden to the podium.
Unsung Hero- Markus Naslund /F
Swedish forward Markus Naslund will do everything he possibly can to make up for
the offensive loss of Peter Forsberg. Naslund's game has taken a step up since
1998 in Nagano, and he has the ability to be a game breaker. In a tournament
where Mats Sundin will be counted on to be the leader, Naslund will emerge as
the unsung star for Sweden.
Intangibles
As far as intangibles go, Sweden is near the bottom of the list. This team is
very similar to the one that has been representing Sweden internationally for a
long time. The familiarity may pose an advantage in terms of being able to gel
and perform more quickly than the other teams. Other than that, the intangibles
are not as easy to spot for this team. They are not the host country, they do
not have a lot of pressure on them to win, and overcoming the injury to Forsberg
is not as inspirational as the story of Koivu and the Finns.
Predicted finish- 5th Overall
CZECH REPUBLIC
Team Outlook
The Czech Republic skate in to Salt Lake as the defending Olympic and World
champions. They possess a cerebral quality on the big ice, and understand their
need to play a team game. The Czechs play a patient, methodical game, one that
is best suited for the international ice. They displayed this patience in
Nagano, putting on a clinic on how to succeed on the larger surface. An
offensive powerhouse they are not. Despite their excellent play, they relied
heavily on goaltending star Dominik Hasek to bring home the gold. The Czechs
will rely on him again in Salt Lake, but Hasek is four years older and slightly
past his prime. The opposition will be gunning for the Czechs this time around,
there will be no surprises, and that will prove too much for Hasek and the Czech
team.
MVP- Dominik Hasek /G
Hasek will be the man for the Czechs again, but he will be hard pressed to match
the heroics of Nagano. He will face a barrage of shots in the Czech goal, and
will stop most of them. The lack of team offense will be the undoing. The Czechs
will come up short in the bronze medal game.
Unsung Hero- Patrick Elias /F
When you talk about the Czechs, you talk about Hasek and Jaromir Jagr. They will
be marked men in Salt Lake and that will cause a need for someone else to shine.
Forward Patrick Elias will come to the front for the team and produce some big
offense when they need it. Elias has become a heart and soul leader and that is
what the Czechs will need when times get tough in Salt Lake.
Intangibles
Unfortunately for the Czechs, the intangibles are not positive this time around.
They are the defending Olympic champions, and will feel the pressure to repeat.
They surprised everyone with gold in Nagano but will surprise no one this time
around. They also face the intangible that neither Hasek nor Jagr are playing
their best hockey going in. With all their international success lately, one
can't help but think that complacency may set in. The opposition is hungry to
knock the Czechs down. This time the Czechs will not be able to stop them.
Predicted finish- 4th Overall
TEAM USA
Team Outlook
Team USA comes in to Salt Lake 2002 with redemption on their mind. They possess
a forward group that can score and play tough with anyone. They have plenty of
forwards in the prime of their hockey careers who are hungry to take it up a
notch. The defense core is a different story. Team USA has gone with and
experience and puck skill on defense while sacrificing strength down low. While
experience is extremely valuable, Team USA will be relying too much on aging
Chris Chelios and Aaron Miller to clear the front. Now is not the time to
sacrifice defensive coverage, as the Team USA goaltending is suspect.
MVP- Jeremy Roenick /F
Roenick is playing his best hockey in years, and will be the main man for Team
USA. He will deliver some offense, as well as force the opposition into
turnovers with his tenacious style on the attack. In a competition as intense as
the Olympics, confidence and even arrogance is sometimes needed. Roenick
possesses both, and will be a leader for the team.
Unsung Hero- Mike Dunham /G
For many years now the US team has relied heavily upon Mike Richter. He has
delivered many times for this team and deserves to go to Salt Lake as the number
one. Time and injury have caught up to some key performers on this team, and
Richter is one of them. Before the end of this tournament, Mike Dunham will get
his chance to emerge. He will step in give the Americans a fighting chance.
Intangibles
The intangibles pose a unique opportunity for Team USA. It has been well
documented that the Americans have won two gold medals in their Olympic history,
both coming on US soil. The aura around that history is evident in Salt Lake,
and was enhanced by the 1980 gold medal team lighting the torch in the opening
ceremonies. It would be a mistake to dismiss that "aura", as well as
the effect that September 11th has had on the motivation of this team. These
intangibles are not physical, but more spiritual and mental and it is hard to
defend against things on that level.
Predicted finish- 3rd overall, Bronze Medal
RUSSIA
Team Outlook
For the first time in a long time, the Russians will have a positive team
concept in their game plan. Yes, there was a team game plan before but the
coaches did not have the respect to enforce it. Now, with the most respected
Russian hockey player of all time running the bench, the players will listen.
The wealth of Russian skill and depth will all be focussed in the same direction
in Salt Lake and that makes the Russians a heavy medal favorite. The forwards
are as fast and skilled as any group in the tournament. The defencemen are as
skilled and as tough as most. Not since the days of Vladislav Tretiak, have the
Russians been so strong between the pipes. This team has it all. This time it
will all be going the same way.
MVP- Nikolai Khabibulin /G
Nikolai Khabibulin is slowly but surely taking the goaltending torch from
Dominik Hasek. He has been the best goaltender in the world this year, and he
has given every indication that this will continue. The Russians will have an
excellent defensive core, but old habits die-hard and the tendency for their
forwards to cheat will create many shots against Khabibulin. He will need to be
at his best for the Russians to get to the Gold Medal game. The Olympics will be
a new, enormous stage for Khabibulin to shine on. He will not disappoint.
Unsung Hero- Igor Larionov /F
This will be Larionov's last time on a team that he helped to build into a
hockey Super power through three decades. Along with Fetisov, he gets tremendous
respect from the younger players and that will be the key to his role on the
team. While younger stars like Sergei Federov, Alexei Yashin, and Pavel Bure
will be the go-to guy's, Larionov will be the key to keeping them in a team
mindset. He will make sure that they show grit and heart when times get tough,
and that will be the most important thing for Russia's success.
Intangibles
It's the same old story for the new generation Russian National Team. No one
questions whether or not Russia has the horses to win the race, but everyone
questions if they will all run in the right direction. The intangible for this
team is whether or not they check their egos at the security gate. The track
record for "I" players like Bure and Yashin are not favorable, but the
difference this time is the Fetisov factor. It's no secret that a team performs
much better when they don't despise their coach, and everyone wants to win for
Fetisov.
Predicted finish- 2nd overall, Silver Medal
CANADA
Team Outlook
Canada comes in to Salt Lake with the same pressures and expectations that they
faced in Nagano, but a completely different team philosophy. Gone are the
defensive role players that littered the Canadian roster. Gone is the philosophy
that they need to shut down the opposition with a cautious, reactive approach.
General Manager Wayne Gretzky and Coach Pat Quinn have made no secret that the
Canadian Team will attack the puck with speed and pressure, and look to control
the game by puck possession. Canada has a much more creative group of forwards
than in Nagano, yet they are all more than capable of delivering the defensive
goods. They have a Hall of Fame caliber group of defencemen who are more than
capable of delivering offense. That is what separates Canada from the rest of
the pack. They have the deepest all-around talent in the tournament, without any
weaknesses on paper.
MVP- Mario Lemeiux /F
It is always a safe pick to go with the best player in the world, although it is
uncertain that he is 100% healthy. In a tournament where the teams are so evenly
matched, the power play is going to be a huge factor. At his age, Lemieux is
less a threat on 5 on 5 as he is on the power play. His hands and vision are the
best in the world, and he will be unstoppable with the extra man. This fact
alone will ensure that Canada scores the big goal when needed, and Lemieux will
be the guy to deliver. His line mates may match him in points, but Mario will be
the key to creating the chances.
Unsung Hero- Rob Blake /D
He has been unsung for most of his career, first being one of the best
defenceman in the N.H.L for the past ten years on the often forgotten West
Coast. Second, being a key part in winning last year's Stanley Cup while being
overshadowed by the last hurrah of Ray Bourque. The same will ring true this
time as players such as Lemieux, Lindros, and Pronger will get the most
attention. Never the less, when all is said and done, and the smoke clears for
the podium, Rob Blake will again be the best defencemen in the tournament.
Intangibles
In Salt Lake 2002, the bad news for Canada is that they will have to overcome
many intangibles to come out on top. The good news, what else is new? Canada is
always faced with incredible pressure and attention where hockey is involved.
Once again, Wayne Gretzky and Mario Lemieux will be counted on to deflect most
of the pressure off the team. Another negative intangible that the players must
overcome is the controversy surrounding the team in the form of a
second-guessing media. Instead of unconditional support, Gretzky and the players
have been faced with question after question about injuries and roster omissions
heading into the games. While the players will never admit it, it definitely has
an effect on their confidence going in. On the positive side, Canada is hungry
and due. The drought has been long enough, and Canadian hockey players are just
too good to keep down forever.
Predicted finish- 1st overall, Gold Medal
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